Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 13.145020 14.853153 16.829434 19.317494 22.414340 26.210036 31.326805
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 11.524140 13.716864 16.477231 20.315737 25.708472 33.356524 45.767771
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.897207 12.110641 15.028231 19.323545 25.820775 35.964779 54.814102
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.995358 11.263687 14.372456 19.184091 26.972385 40.323298 68.968562
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.260873 10.530374 13.737460 18.906335 27.763149 44.259074 84.949168
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.730549 10.012936 13.328804 18.877439 28.919042 49.256293 107.791058
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.353864 9.670849 13.127884 19.130709 30.616540 56.070554 144.139172
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.856286 9.102531 12.510817 18.571420 30.602977 58.982740 172.047765
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.532624 8.767490 12.224777 18.546052 31.662245 65.113961 227.229380
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.119754 8.264800 11.620507 17.857096 31.145107 66.725333 264.132171
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.695784 7.719314 10.905027 16.881052 29.810167 65.439589 280.784792
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.349559 7.277127 10.332233 16.120530 28.851847 65.062470 306.831312
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.497955 7.638880 11.165545 18.248226 35.467827 95.649245 1047.746011
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.426270 7.639441 11.375094 19.167894 39.461697 122.519145 4623.545967
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.103045 7.203623 10.766900 18.258735 38.055311 122.009365 7364.703082
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.913727 6.980637 10.528660 18.130834 38.947709 135.567033 105933.805780
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.723619 6.745331 10.249551 17.875940 39.394960 147.593064 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.577196 6.575957 10.080144 17.849413 40.584841 167.267195 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.472502 6.471871 10.025126 18.081858 42.745852 200.318628 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.289329 6.222746 9.675576 17.568370 42.135386 207.704462 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.173238 6.085303 9.533392 17.545064 43.343395 238.388052 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.998120 5.836848 9.160195 16.911552 42.073169 237.792126 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.803144 5.547199 8.694000 16.012243 39.622562 219.322692 NaN